Accessing Deleted Microsoft Access Files

By: Scott Moore
December 12, 2009 · Posted in statistics · Comment 

If you have ever lost a Microsoft Access file, check out a way to get it back from Black-YoYo

Labor Projections

By: Scott Moore
December 12, 2009 · Posted in labor market · Comment 

BLS published the 2008-18 projections today. The Employment Projections web site has been reorganized to better present tables and technical documentation.

We need to be careful when using projections. These data are most accurate at a national level, while at the local level they are not. Projections are time sensitive, in that jobs can come or go all at once, (recession) over the period of the analysis, or in one geography and not another.

If you have questions about these data you can find more information at lovetowork.org

Labor Market: Government Stimulus Package

By: Scott Moore
December 9, 2009 · Posted in labor market · Comment 

There has been quite a discussion about the stimulus package and jobs recovery. It is safe to say that jobs not only have not come back but current employment has gotten worse.  The chart shows the State of South Carolina Current Employment Statistics (CES), 1999 – 2009. (Source: BLS)

The chart has two scales one for State and Federal workers (left, blue and red lines respectively) and private employment (right, green). Note the very slim increase in Federal employment and drop in State employment compared to the huge decrease in private sector employment over the last two years. The question is how does a stimulus package actually work to create jobs? It does not seem to be working here or is it?

Comparing to the Past:  Zooming in on the 2000 dot-com bust, South Carolina lost 134,000 jobs from June 2000 to January 2002. During the current recession, employment peaked in June of 2007  and fell to a low in January of 2009, a loss of 132,000 jobs.

Travel (Tourism) Impact in South Carolina

By: Scott Moore
December 1, 2009 · Posted in IMPLAN · Comment 

South Carolina Parks and Recreation and Tourism, completed their 2008 economic impact of travel in South Carolina.  The project was completed by the U.S. Travel Association. This report is based on well established current third part data, including Smith Travel Research (STR Global), BEA and BLS data sets.

Appendix A of the report details the method used to calculate impacts. U.S. Travel Association uses their proprietary Travel Economic Impact Model (TEIM) program which calculates impacts based on a number of inputs. What is intersting about these data is their method of estimating impacts based on travel generated business receipts, employment, and payroll for 16 travel sectors.  The data combined then generate a total impact and dollars/job created.

One criticism of these findings is travel is viewed from a single dimension, i.e. dollars flowing into the state. In reality, travel includes dollars both coming into the state and leaving the state.  This calculation would provide a true estimate of travel  impact and thus travel related employment within a specific geography.

estimates travel generated business receipts,
employment, and payroll